Statistics say that in a card game that you have to guess a card among three cards, and a wrong card is discarded when you guess first, if you change your guess you will have more chances to get it right than if you keep your guess. Show more
The Monty Hall Problem
Monty Hall Problem?
According to Wikipedia, "The Monty Hall problem is a probability puzzle loosely based on the American television game show Let's Make a Deal. The problem is also called the Monty Hall Paradox, as it is a veridical paradox in that the result appears absurd, but is demonstrably true".
Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which he knows has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice? — Whitaker (1990)
This is a card game which works exactly like the problem mentioned above. Try to demonstrate the odds! Show less
Results
- Changed your guess right (0)0%
- Kept your guess right (0)0%
- Times you played at all0